Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 131.831739 144.826851 158.087400 172.604263 188.022556 203.883394 221.406155
2025-06-01 109.907332 129.334307 150.070502 173.734457 199.874517 227.754352 259.623432
2025-06-08 94.001701 117.970129 144.632013 176.198235 212.259767 251.893004 298.461691
2025-06-15 84.064053 111.809773 143.823314 182.941451 228.901671 280.661874 342.825486
2025-06-22 74.116859 104.309803 140.386337 185.780780 240.487236 303.444075 380.507432
2025-06-29 64.920249 96.588012 135.727491 186.353525 248.806343 322.092369 413.325531
2025-07-06 57.827660 90.684839 132.593133 188.175602 258.181113 341.740405 447.284013
2025-07-13 53.480738 87.869067 132.951237 194.033854 272.315154 367.073049 488.184852
2025-07-20 48.840793 84.131004 131.683421 197.474787 283.213542 388.391917 524.324429
2025-07-27 45.647171 82.072580 132.374115 203.256611 296.974007 413.254780 564.952634
2025-08-03 42.184064 79.257535 131.742826 207.063378 308.068988 434.782196 601.587481
2025-08-10 35.849544 71.476561 123.607477 200.214077 304.822605 437.896825 615.063473
2025-08-17 31.125476 65.796194 118.174534 196.887842 306.196097 447.034472 636.465125
2025-08-24 27.716115 61.894822 115.073141 196.618914 311.563200 461.329221 664.564948
2025-08-31 25.187095 59.206584 113.589237 198.512465 319.813974 479.423566 697.699868
2025-09-07 24.031449 58.801331 115.555449 205.412369 335.041066 506.856541 743.170321
2025-09-14 22.109696 56.797417 114.849479 208.266609 344.598538 526.828778 779.115996
2025-09-21 19.906883 54.010101 112.680340 208.770309 350.750476 542.236817 809.178260
2025-09-28 18.180992 51.937960 111.519041 210.680715 358.842675 560.269212 842.795294
2025-10-05 17.369370 51.609682 113.218807 216.982584 373.293322 587.037402 888.174594
2025-10-12 16.189249 50.378502 113.284638 220.683533 383.975541 608.732347 926.964299
2025-10-19 15.499651 50.112467 114.969362 226.918307 398.391469 635.637884 972.876596
2025-10-26 14.539880 49.139236 115.336849 231.022135 409.691547 658.328220 1013.301425